Daniel Bezte's General Weather Outlook
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Last Updated: November 16, 2015 I’m not sure what cliché I should begin this forecast with. I could go with, “sure hope you enjoyed last weekend’s weather” or maybe, “we all knew this nice weather would come to an end eventually”. Or, how about “don’t tempt Mother Nature by predicting that no storms will hit us!” (last week’s forecast). No matter which one you choose, it looks like our weather pattern will be taking a dramatic shift towards winter. This forecast period will start off with a Colorado low sliding by to our southeast. This low looks to bring plenty of clouds along with some rain to extreme southern and most of southeastern Manitoba on Wednesday. At the same time, a strong Alberta Clipper will be developing over central Alberta and will quickly track into central Manitoba late on Wednesday. These two systems will then merge into one large system, bringing all sorts of nasty winter weather. The big question with a complex system like this is just where and how much snow will fall once the cold air works into the system late Wednesday or early Thursday? Early indications are that central regions will see the most snow, with some isolated amounts of up to 15 cm possible. Further south and to the west amounts will be less, with only 2 to 5 cm expected. Very strong northerly winds behind this system will result in temperatures falling well below freezing and will definitely make it feel like winter on Thursday. An area of high pressure will build in on Friday bringing clearing skies along with windy and cool weather, with highs expected in the -5 C range. If we get significant snow then overnight lows will be in the -13 to -16 C range, otherwise, expect lows to be in the -10 to -13 C range. Another low is then forecast to drop quickly southeast bringing another chance of light snow late on Sunday. This low will slow down and strengthen over northern Ontario early next week, which should keep us in a cool northerly flow. This active wintery pattern looks to continue with another Alberta Clipper possible around mid-week. Usual Temperature Range for this Period Highs: -11 to 2 C Lows: -20 to -6 C Probability of precipitation falling as snow: 95%

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